17 Eki 2012 01:30 Vitoria BA - ASA AL

Pick: Vitoria BA (-1.25) Odds: 2.21 When I saw the line on this game I was undecided, and than I saw opening odds and said: "hell no", but line movement is something I don't understand here, and all of the sudden I like this @2.20 + odds on this line and I'm willing to sacrifice half of the stake if Vitoria wins only with one goal difference. Vitoria is currently on the 2nd place, one point behind Criciuma, they lost last game against Parana, and on weekend they have heavy 6 point game against Atletico PR. So this win here is must for them as they need to regain confidence before big sunday game. For this game coach will have 2 important players back in the team: lateral Nino Paraiba (14/1) and forward William (10/5). ASA on the other hand in last few games took the problem of relegation and now they can breathe calm. 2 wins and a draw in last 3 games gave them space to be calm as they are now in the safe zone. Coach have no problems scaling the team. Vitoria need 6 more point to be safe in the Serie A next season and this game is perfect to collect first 3 points. ASA do not need to push a lot in this game, for them home games are more important so I believe they will not be as focused as usual. Line is OK, not great, but the odds are out of the space. MilosNS